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Super Bowl XLVII Odds: Three Long Shots worth Betting On

Written by Michael Gordon   
Friday, 24 August 2012 02:27

Super Bowl XLVII OddsAs football fans around the country stock up their coolers, renew their NFL Sunday Ticket subscriptions and gear up for the upcoming season, Super Bowl XLVII odds have begun to take shape.

According to the latest odds at Bovada Sportsbook, the New England Patriots (11/2) are the favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in New Orleans next February. The Green Bay Packers (6/1), San Francisco 49ers (9/1), the Philadelphia Eagles (11/1) and Houston Texans (12/1) round out the top-five betting favorites.

The next five betting favorites include your usual suspects – the Pittsburgh Steelers (15/1), Chicago Bears (16/1), Denver Broncos (16/1), New Orleans Saints (18/1) and Baltimore Ravens (18/1).

At the end of the day, though, history tells us that the preseason Super Bowl favorite seldom wins.

In fact, the last time this happened was in 2006 when the Indianapolis Colts prevailed as a 5/1 favorites in Super Bowl XLI. Since then:

  • The Giants won Super Bowl XLII with 30/1 preseason odds
  • The Steelers won Super Bowl XLII with 20/1 preseason odds
  • The Saints won Super Bowl XLIV with 20/1 preseason odds
  • The Packers won Super Bowl XLV with 11/1 preseason odds
  • The Giants won Super Bowl XLVI with 22/1 preseason odds

So what does this tell us about this season? Are the Patriots and Packers the ‘true’ favorites to meet in the Super Bowl?

If you’re the type of person who’s looking to take a chance, here are three long shots worth betting to win Super Bowl XLVII:

Carolina Panthers (40/1)
– Interestingly enough, Panthers center Ryan Kalil took out a full-page ad this offseason guaranteeing a victory in Super Bowl XLVII. Cam Newton is a year wiser, the defense is finally healthy and the NFC South is a division that’s up for grabs. The Panthers held a lead in 14 of their 16 games last season, but only finished with six wins. If they can turn some of those close losses into close wins, this team can easily get into the playoffs. Then anything can happen.

Detroit Lions (25/1) – There’s a lot to like about the Lions. They are young, talented and improving every day. Matthew Stafford is emerging as one of the league’s best quarterbacks and Calvin Johnson is the best wide receiver in football. While Detroit’s secondary is suspect, the defensive line is scary good. Although the NFC North one of the most competitive divisions in the league, the Lions are good enough to hang with the best of them.

Kansas City Chiefs (50/1) –
The Kansas City Chiefs have quietly turned into a contender this offseason. Quarterback Matt Cassel, running back Jamaal Charles and safety Eric Berry are all returning from injuries. The signings of tackle Eric Winston and running back Peyton Hillis will give the Chiefs one of the best ground-and-pound games in the NFL. This will help receivers Dwayne Bowe and Jonathan Baldwin stretch the field. Not to mention, Romeo Crennel is an upgrade over Todd Haley at head coach. The Chiefs are a team that could easily win the so-so AFC West, even with Peyton Manning in a Denver Broncos uniform.

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