NFL Week 6: Bills vs. Giants Free Picks |
| Written by Andrew Scofield | |||
| Sunday, 16 October 2011 07:34 | |||
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We thought the Giants were a bit of an overlay last week as 10-point chalk against Seattle but we didn’t think that the Seahawks (along with 90% of survivor pool players) would travel clear across the country and garner the SU win. Bet on NFL Football and Get a 35% Bonus at BetOnline. New York Giants was a 36-25 loser at home against the Seahawks. They failed to cover the 9.5–point betting spread as favorites. That upset loss sets the stage nicely this week as the G-Men now look to be somewhat of an underlay with this 3-point spread (wasn’t it just a week ago that the Eagles we’re laying the same number on the ROAD to this Buffalo team?). Yes, we realize that very few teams have ‘circled the wagons’ like Buffie this BFL betting season. And while the Bills have given us thrills, there’s just no value in backing a road squad at this price that has been outstatted in each of its last three games – or one that has surrendered more than 450 yards in every game since Week Two. This ‘double inside-out’ stat gem also finds the Giants a perfect 6-0 ATS against .666 or greater opposition with revenge and Eli 6-3 ATS at home versus a foe off a SU dog win. Series history (Giants 5-1 ATS last six) provides more ammo but the Bills’ 0-8 ATS mark on the road in October versus an opponent off a double-digit SU loss says the wheels to the wagon start to come off in the Big Apple. Like Elliott Spitzer’s mistresses would say, “It’s a lay at any price.” Free Pick: Giants over Bills by 14 Buffalo Bills vs. New York Giants betting stats: The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
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