NFL Week 4 Odds: New England Patriots vs. Oakland Raiders

You probably don’t need our database to tell you that Belichick, Brady and the Patriots don’t like losing.

Thus it should come as no surprise to find the Pats 9-1 ATS off a SU favorite loss versus a foe off a SU win or the hoodie, himself, is 11-1 ATS away when .500 or greater off a SU loss and taking on a .500 or greater opponent.

We’re even sure that New England’s 6-1 ATS mark in Game Four along with its 4-1 SU and ATS record versus the AFC West is not earth-shattering news.

However, despite those numbers, we’re not about to lay points on the road with the league’s worst defense (469 YPG) against a team brimming with confidence.

It’s really not that hard to make a case for the Raiders who are only a major Buffalo rally short of being 3-0 on the season.

You see, the Silver and Black not only cover games as home dogs (5-2 ATS last seven) but they win them as well (5-2 SU).

Al’s boys are also terrifi c at home off a double-digit SU win, posting a 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS record. The biggest cause for concern when throwing the sweatsuit on this afternoon comes from our MIDWEEK ALERT as it notes the Raiders have been outgained in all three contests thus far this season.

Look for them to bend but not break again this afternoon in the Coliseum.

Sportsbooks currently have the Patriots listed as 4-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game's total is sitting at 52.

Betting Stats:

The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games