NFL Betting: Patriots vs. Dolphins Odds and Stats

The England Patriots meet the Miami Dolphins at Sun Life Stadium on Monday Night Football.

A bevy of offseason veteran signings makes the Patriots, not the Jets, the team to beat in the AFC East this season.

With a 25-10 ATS mark on the division highway since 2000 and a 10-1 ATS record as division road favorites of 4 or more points, it’s easy to make a case for the Brady Bunch tonight… especially when you consider the combined 79-21 beating they handed the Dolphins in two games last season.

However, our betting database reminds us: Monday night dogs in Game One of the season are the way to go as they are 26-11 ATS, including 14-3 ATS versus a team that won 13 or more games last year.

Throw in Miami’s 14-7 markas home dogs of more than 3 points and we’ll side with the hosts as Tony Sparano tries to put last year’s brutal 1-7 SU record at home behind him.

Grab the generous points as the heat and humidity work in Miami’s favor tonight.

Betting trends:
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New England's last 11 games
New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games at home
Miami is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England