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Dolphins vs. Chargers NFL Week 4 Free Picks

Written by Gaby Varji   
Sunday, 02 October 2011 09:03

2011 betting season Miami Dolphins vs. San Diego ChargersThe Miami Dolphins visit the house of the San Diego Chargers this Sunday October 2nd. Join Now to Bet on this Game!

Very few times is life this predictable in the NFL but when it is, we can’t let these opportunities pass us by.

Take San Diego for instance. The Chargers are stuck in their usual slow-start mode once again this year and their 9-17 SU and 7-19 ATS record versus AFC East opposition says they keep it in first gear for at least another week.

Miami HC Tony Sparano is also falling into his old habits this NFL betting season. After dropping his usual home games, Sparano and the Dolphins almost pulled one out on the road in Cleveland.

In fact, if the late line move hadn’t made Miami a game-time favorite, Sparano would have improved on his terrific 17-7 ATS mark away from home.

Maybe this trip further away from the Sunshine State will do the trick. Sparano’s 12-2 ATS record as a road dog from Game Four out says it will, as does the Dolphins’ 11-1 ATS record as non-division dogs of 7 or more betting points.

Add Miami’s dominant 30-10 SU and 29-10-1 ATS mark against the AFC West to the mix, including 5-1 ATS at San Diego, and it looks like we’re in the same old rut. In this case, a money making rut.

Currently Bodog Sportsbook have the Chargers listed as 7-point favorites against the Dolphins, and the game's total is sitting at 44½.

Miami most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 3-7

San Diego most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4

 
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