Denver Broncos vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Week 4 Betting

We would normally look to fade the Pack off its bi-annual war with the Bears but we’ve been told that timing is everything and our database reminds us that 3-0 teams at home in Game Four of the season are 38- 22 ATS since 1980, including 24-9 ATS when hosting a non-division foe.

The timing also doesn’t appear right for John Fox’s Denver squad as the Broncos are 0-5 SU and ATS away off a previous away game and just 1-7 ATS as dogs of 7 or more points with revenge.

In addition, the frozen tundra of Lambeau hasn’t been a kind place to the visiting ponies as they own an 0-3-1 ATS record in Green Bay since 1987, including the last two losses that resulted in a combined score of 72-9.

We have a feeling that the defending Super Bowl champs, and winners of nine straight dating back to last betting season, are living on borrowed time.

However, we’re not looking for something new this week. It’s all about the timing.

The Packers are listed as 13-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game's total is sitting at 48.

Betting Stats:

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games