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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. LSU Tigers News and Odds

Written by Matt Stevens   
Saturday, 12 November 2011 07:23

2011 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. LSU TigersThe Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the LSU Tigers will fight on Saturday at Tiger Stadium.

We’re not talking letdown by LSU this week… we’re talking MAJOR comedown off the Tigers’ monumental overtime win at Tuscaloosa last Saturday night in prime time.

Bayou Bengals are also a classic fade in our ‘Brilliant Disguise’ angle, which tells us to: go against any favorite off a SU underdog win over a previously undefeated foe.

The Bayou Bengals have sure made hay against the Sun Belt, harvesting a highly profitable 8-1 ATS mark payday.

Unfortunately, the Tigers are also just 2-6 ATS off a SU dog win in SEC play, plus they’re a weak 3-7 ATS after tangling with the Tide.

Meanwhile, the Hilltoppers may not turn out to be such a willing victim: they’re only the 2nd team in the 30-plus years of history in our database to win five straight games as an underdog (the other was Rice in 2006, who won and covered its next game).

Western also cashes the big dog checks, going 4-1 ATS when taking 24 or more points.

Look, we know the Mad Hatter can name the score here, but after last Saturday’s draining slugfest with Alabama, he may not care enough to run it up. Take it or leave it.

Sportsbooks at Vegas currently have the Tigers listed as 41½-point favorites versus the Hilltoppers, while the game's total is sitting at 49.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. LSU Tigers Stats:

Western Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LSU's last 8 games at home

 
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