Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds and Stats

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Alabama Crimson Tide will face each other on Saturday when they meet at Bryant-Denny Stadium in a betting game that will be televised on ESPNU.

You’ve heard us say many times over “you’re probably not going to like this.” Well, remove the word ‘probably’ because we’re certain that you won’t like this analysis.

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Yes, we saw a superior Florida offense going to the ground (29 carries, 15 yards) more times than a female Kardashian in an NBA locker room (or a Denny’s waitress in Tiger’s booth) but you have to agree this game has ‘letdown’ written all over it.

BetOnline currently have the Alabama listed as 28½-point favorites against the Vanderbilt, and the game's total is sitting at 41½.

In reality, the Tide have never really taken the Commies seriously, posting a 1-5 ATS log at home in this series since 1992.

Toss in a 1-4 ATS mark after rassling with the Gators, a 2-5 ATS log versus rested SEC foes and a 3-13 ATS record as conference home favorites of 14 or more points and you can see why we think Vandy will improve to 7-2 ATS as dogs of more than 21 points and 6-2 ATS with rest. Yes, the Swabs are a winless 0-9 ATS in their last nine SU losses but our betting predictions tells us to fade this Homecoming ‘Fat Cat’ and we’ll hold our nose and do just that.

If you continued to read on after seeing Vanderbilt underlined and bolded, we’re not sure you’re convinced… but thanks for listening. Remember, elephants have short memories and so should you. Forget about last week and roll AGAINST the Tide.

Betting Stats:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Vanderbilt's last 17 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Alabama
Vanderbilt is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
Alabama is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Alabama's last 10 games at home