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NCAA Football Week 9 Purdue vs. Michigan Odds and Free Picks

Written by Gaby Varji   
Saturday, 29 October 2011 10:01

2011 Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines PicksMichigan fans are feeling more than a little bit nervous right now – and why shouldn’t they? The last two college football betting seasons saw the Wolverines’ quick starts turn into downhill slides, both coming courtesy of a loss to blood rival Michigan State. Join Now to Bet on this Game!

Following another whipping by the Spartans two weeks ago, it’s up to head coach Brady Hoke to make sure the Maize-and-Blue doesn’t deliver a down-the-drain three-peat.

Hoke’s first task should be reading the riot act to his offensive line.

Not only did MSU hold the Wolverines to a piddling 82 yards rushing, they registered seven sacks and made QB Denard Robinson look like a human punching bag while holding Michigan to its lowest point total of the season.

Laying doubles after having their undefeated bubble burst is bad enough but when the Wolves are asked to do so on Homecoming Day… well, you know how we feel about chalk in this situation.

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Our database points out that Hoke is an outstanding 12-3 ATS in his last 15 games off a SU and ATS loss versus a conference foe but we feel the effects of suffering his first loss of 2011 outweighs that positive stat.

Meanwhile, after a miserable 0-2 ATS start to the season, Purdue has become a fixture at the pay window lately, covering four of its last five contests.

The Boilers have also cashed in the three straight meetings against UM – and two more wins in their final five games will send the Boilers bowling for the first time since 2007.

They won’t get one here but if the visitors can continue to exploit a soft Michigan run defense (gave up 213 rushing yards to the Spartans), Purdue will grab the series cash for a fourth consecutive time.

Oh, did we mention that the Wolverines are now 1-10 ATS in their last 11 conference games at the Big House? Boiler up!

Free betting pick: Michigan over Purdue by 10

Sportsbooks currently have the Wolverines listed as 14-point favorites versus the Boilermakers, while the game's total is sitting at 52½.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines betting stats:

Purdue is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Purdue is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Michigan
Purdue is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Michigan
Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Purdue
Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Purdue

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