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LSU vs. Alabama Latest Odds Update

Written by Charlie Jimenez   
Friday, 04 November 2011 09:08

 LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Week 10 OddsThe LSU Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide face each other on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium in one of the best college football betting games of the week 10 that will be televised on CBS. Join Now to Bet on this Game!

Was there any doubt, after LSU disposed of Oregon back on September 3rd, that these two national powerhouses would arrive in Tuscaloosa undefeated and on a ‘Collision Course’?

Our Best betting prediction was prepared as it reminds us that the underdog in a matchup of unbeaten squads from Game Six out is 40-19-1 ATS since 1980, including 15-7 SU and 19-3 ATS if its defense allows less than 13.5 PPG.

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That’s certainly the case for the defensive-minded Tigers.

Alabama is listed as 6-point favorites against LSU, while the game's total is sitting at 41½.

We should also point out that top ranked teams in the AP poll are 6-3 SU and ATS as dogs when taking on the No. 2 squad in the land. That’s plenty of ammo for the Bayou Bengals who look to retain the top spot in the country.

But there’s much more: LSU is 5-1-1 ATS as dogs with rest, 4-1 ATS in their last four visits to Tuscaloosa and a fired-up 6-1 ATS after facing Auburn.

Even the Mad Hatter gets in the conversion as he is a confident 30-7 SU when his team is undefeated, including 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS off a win of 28 or more points.

And like residents of 42nd street, Miles does his best work at night posting a 49-4 SU record under the lights with LSU.

However, not be outdone, Nick Saban is an eye-opening 18-3 SU and 16-4 ATS in games against undefeated college football opponents when his team is also unbeaten, and 14-2 SU and 13-3 ATS with SEC revenge – including 10-0 ATS the last 10 and 10-0 SU and ATS if his team allows less than 16.5 PPG!

His Tide has also beaten every SEC foe this betting season by at least 24 points (5-0 ATS).

So how even are these two teams, you ask? Well, according to Mike LoPresti of USA TODAY, ‘Bama has scored 315 points and 40 TD’s this year, LSU has notched 314 points and 41 touchdowns.

LSU has committed only three turnovers all season long (none in its last five games) while Alabama has just three turnovers in its last seven games.

Toss in the fact that in its two common opponent games to date (Florida, Tennessee), the Tide rolled by 28 and 31 points, winning the stats battle by 427 yards, respectively, while the Tigers’ wins were by 30 and 31 points and a 384-net yardage advantage.

Maybe we can find an advantage in the coach’s corner? Don’t count on it: Saban has a career winning percentage of 72.8 while Miles checks in at 72.1.

The bottom line is the only thing separating these two teams is the customary three points for home field advantage, though we should point out that the Tide is a surprising 0-6 ATS as home favorites of less than 7 points since 2005.

Nonetheless, with Saban armed with SEC revenge, we’ll avoid this low-scoring, head-on ‘collision’ and enjoy the game.

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