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C-USA Championship: Southern Miss vs. Houston Picks and Odds

Written by Michael Gordon   
Thursday, 01 December 2011 11:15

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Houston Cougars PicksThe Southern Miss Golden Eagles will face the Houston Cougars on Saturday at John O`Quinn Field at Robertson Stadium in the Conference USA Championship Game and will be televised on ABC. Join Now to Bet on this Game!

CUSA title game is one of several ‘firsts’ for Houston. Not only have the Cougars never won 13 games in a row in school history, a victory here would put a CUSA team in a BCS bowl game for the first time in conference history.

We think they’ll get it… but not by enough to cover the spread.

The same warning alert we expounded upon in the Ucla-Oregon game goes out here: college conference championship game favorites of more than 10 points are just 6-14 ATS, including 3-5 SU and 1-7 ATS when off a win of more than 20 points.

Plus, our database worked OT and came up with this nugget: undefeated favorites of -17 or less points in conference championship games are just 6-4 SU and 2-8 ATS. If you’re still not convinced, try these on for size.

Southern Miss has won 8 of the last 11 meetings outright, they’re a perfect 7-0 ATS as conference dogs of 7 or more points and Houston has buried its backers as chalk in this price range when seeking conference revenge, going a lifeless 1-10 ATS as a favorite of 16 points or less.

And the Golden Eagles will be looking to get their pound of Coog fl esh and atone for a 34-20 loss to UH in Smissy’s only other conference playoff appearance in 2006.

“To have Southern Miss coming to our place to play for the title, I think it’s fitting,” Houston QB Case Keenum said.

“We’ve had some great matchups between those guys and us and this will be another good one.”

But with a ton of pressure on Houston to complete an undefeated season – and possibly position Keenum for a shot at the Heisman – we’ll gladly take the points with a foe that’s more than capable of springing the upset.

Current betting line: Houston listed as 13-point favorites against the Southern Miss, and the game's total is sitting at 70½.

 
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