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College Football Week 13 Odds: Penn State vs. Wisconsin

Written by Andrew Scofield   
Saturday, 26 November 2011 09:09

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Wisconsin Badgers PredictionsThe Penn State Nittany Lions and the Wisconsin Badgers have a meeting on Saturday at Camp Randall Stadium.

We didn’t think last week that Illinois could keep up with Wisconsin’s potent offense and were only burned by a slow start.

After falling behind 17-7 at the half, Wisky waltzed through the Illini defense, winning the second half 21-0 and closing out the game with a sevenminute drive that ended with the Badgers on the Illini ten-yard line in 28-17 win-no cover.

Well, that game was on the road and this one is at home so expect no slow starts this afternoon in Madison. So the question becomes, once again, how does the Lions’ popgun attack keep pace with the Badgers’ battering assault?

Answer: they don’t! Even our betting database couldn’t fi nd any support these days for Joe Pa’s old team.

The Lions are 6-12 ATS after battling Ohio State and 2-6 ATS away versus .800 or greater conference opposition from Game Eight while the Badgers are 5-1 ATS as home favorites of more than 3 points off back-to-back road games and 3-0 ATS in LHG’s. Even the series dog is a winless 0-6 ATS since 2003.

Not only do those trends have us taking a shot of Wisky but check out this little doozy, courtesy of our database: .700 or greater home favorites of more than 13 points off back-to-back ATS road losses in which they were favored by 7 or more points are 19-6-1 ATS.

Sportsbooks at Vegas currently have the Badgers listed as 16-point favorites versus the Nittany Lions, while the game's total is sitting at 48.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Wisconsin Badgers trends to consider:

Penn State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Penn State's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wisconsin is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games when playing Penn State

 
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