College Football Odds: San Diego State Aztecs vs. Air Force Falcons

College football betting week seven opens in Fort Collins and we get yet another look at the Mountain West Conference… this time sans Boise State.

And while it’s not the SEC, at least it’s not the MAC or the Sun Belt. In fact, six of the eight teams in the MWC boast a winning record thanks to a 19-16 nonconference mark.

Not bad for a league that rents space to UNLV and New Mexico. Tonight’s combatants enter with similar resumes (3-2 overall / 0-1 in league play, each losing to TCU) and this likely battle for third-place honors looks to keep us squarely on the sidelines.

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Regular-season weekday road games have ruined the Aztecs (0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS) and we’re really not eager to back a single-digit road dog that is 1-3 ‘In The Stats’ versus lined opposition this season.

And while the Force is 3-1 SU and ATS in non-Saturday battles of late, the concern is AFA’s 6-12 SU and 3-13 ATS record off a SU loss of 20 or more points, including 1-9 ATS when not getting 5 or more points.

While we do expect the Falcons to make amends for last year’s 27-25 loss in San Diego as 1-point road favorites, we don’t see the need to lay this big a number with a team that is off to a 1-2 SU and ATS start versus FBS opposition. It’s your call.

Currently the Falcons are listed as 7-point favorites against the Aztecs, while the game's total is sitting at 57.

San Diego State most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 5-5

Air Force most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 5-5