College Football Free Picks: Penn State vs. Indiana Odds |
Written by Matt Stevens | |||
Thursday, 29 September 2011 06:46 | |||
The current betting line is the Nittany Lions listed as 18-point favorites versus the Hoosiers, while the game's total is sitting at 48½. Losses to Ball State, Virginia and lowly North Texas? It appears even Gene Hackman couldn’t fi re up these Hoosiers, let alone fi rst-year HC Kevin Wilson. However, until Joe Pa settles on either Matt McGloin or Rob Bolden at the QB spot, we refuse to lay any kind of lumber with this bunch. And rightfully so: the Lions have failed to cover a spread this year, thanks to an offense that is averaging less than 20 PPG against FBS opposition. And now they’re asked to lay over two touchdowns on the road? Recent series history (1-3 ATS since 2007) says no thanks and so does our betting database as it notes: double-digit home dogs off a SU road favorite loss who allow 29.5 or less points per game are 14-5 ATS when facing sub .850 opposition. Oh, my. Yes, the Lions are due to roar one of these days but it’s not in the foreseeable future. You know the drill – hold your nose and grab the points. Remember, every once in a while these underdog schools from Indiana have been known to bite. Free betting Pick: Penn State over Indiana by 13 Penn State most recently: Indiana most recently:
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