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NBA Betting: Rockets vs. Nuggets Preview

Written by Gaby Varji   
Friday, 05 April 2013 23:02

Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets PicksThe Denver Nuggets have lost only three home games this season, making them the best home-court team in the NBA. Yet, their run might be halted by the Houston Rockets.

Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets – Saturday, April 6

In the realm of sport betting online, you're probably going to find a lot of debate about this game among bookies and the betting students who scour various 5dimes.com reviews during an NBA season. The thing that stands out about this game is that while the Nuggets have indeed lost only three times at home this season, they've actually dropped two of those three games to bad teams, Minnesota and Washington. Denver's only home-court loss to an elite or even moderately successful opponent was to the Miami Heat, and that loss occurred in the 2012 portion of this NBA season.

 

Denver basically never misses at home against good teams, a remarkable feat for the Nuggets, considering their youth and their lack of consistent low-post play when they step away from home. It's really hard to perceive which way the pendulum will swing for the Nuggets in this game against Houston, a team that is not one of the NBA's elites but not a team that's headed for the draft lottery, either. Houston is a "tweener" as far as the Nuggets are concerned - dangerous enough to compete with the Nuggets in terms of talent but not imposing enough to be seen as Denver's equal.

How does injury luck help shape this contest? It could play a large role in this hardwood version of online poker. The Nuggets will be without point guard Ty Lawson, the centerpiece of their offense and the man who enables Denver to play at the fast pace it likes. Lawson gets other players involved in the offense and is able to knit together the lineup combinations that coach George Karl puts on the floor. Without him, Denver should stuggle to a considerable extent.

However, on the other side of the divide, one must realize that Houston superstar James Harden is continuing to play on a sprained right ankle. He has been persistent and valiant in dealing with the injury, but one must still appreciate the fact that the lingering physical limitation is going to prevent Harden from being as lethally consistent as he can be. Denver is certainly going to derive a degree of benefit from Harden's less-than-ideal condition, somewhat minimizing the effects of the Lawson injury.

In terms of incentives, they reside with both teams here. Houston wants to get the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference so that it can avoid Oklahoma City in the first round. Denver wants to get the No. 3 seed so that it can avoid Memphis or the Los Angeles Clippers in the first round. At the end of the day, Ty Lawson is the one player that Denver really can't afford to lose. Houston will have a very good chance of pulling off a road win in the Rocky Mountains, and the sense here is that the Rockets will indeed get the job done.

 
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