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NBA Basketball Betting – San Antonio vs. Denver Stats

Written by Gaby Varji   
Saturday, 10 April 2010 08:20

San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets OddsThe sportsbook odds that always circulate around a high-level basketball game are tipped in one direction or another based on subtle movements and flows. The NBA betting calculus might be hard to read for this Saturday’s crucial contest between the San Antonio Spurs and the Denver Nuggets, so it’s worth exploring the nuances of this matchup.  

San Antonio @ Denver

Saturday, April 10

If you’re looking for any slight edge in the realm of sports betting, a good place to start – at least when talking about the soon-to-end NBA regular season – is rest. The grueling nature of the 82-game NBA slate, with its often ridiculous travel demands, affects a lot of results. One reason the NBA implements the dreaded road-and-home back-to-back set (along with the all-road back-to-back set) is that it balances the odds in favor of the teams who aren’t playing games on consecutive days.

When the Los Angeles Lakers make one of their East Coast road swings and play at Washington and Philadelphia on consecutive nights, the 76ers – who ordinarily wouldn’t stand much of a chance against the Lake Show – can become competitive because the Lakers are having to step on the court for the second time in 24 hours, with travel thrown into the mix. If every NBA game was played with at least one day in between games, the season would last much longer, but it would also create many more wins for elite teams and take away wins from bottom-feeders. Instituting the back-to-back set diversifies a season’s results and injects an extra dimension of intrigue into the product. It’s a sneaky tactic on the NBA’s part, but it does affect games. 

Consider the plights of the two teams who will meet at Denver’s Pepsi Center Saturday night at 9:05 p.m. Eastern time. 

The Denver Nuggets –  without power forward Kenyon Martin – have been struggling in recent weeks because of their limitations. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been playing better basketball than the Nuggets of late. However, the Thunder had to play at Utah this past Tuesday, in a game that went into overtime. Oklahoma City had to follow that game and come home for the second half of a back-to-backer on Wednesday night against the rested Nuggets, who hadn’t played since Saturday, April 3. Guess who won? The Nuggets – even without a core player and also without head coach George Karl – went into Oklahoma and struck down the Thunder, 98-94. That game offered a classic example of how rest affects NBA regular season contests. 

Now, look at the San Antonio Spurs. Friday night, coach Gregg Popovich’s team will host the Memphis Grizzlies… not a great team, but not a bad one, either. After that contest, Tim Duncan and friends will have to travel through a time zone and face the Nuggets, who – after finishing their own back-to-back set on Thursday night against the Lakers – will have Friday off and should be more rested.  

Just as online betting odds makers will not pick an obscure player to come from the middle of the pack on the final Sunday of the Masters and win the tournament, many NBA games will not favor the team that’s having to travel through a time zone in order to finish a back-to-back set. Take Denver over San Antonio in this important Western Conference clash.  

BSN Sports betting pick: Denver

 
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