NASCAR Betting – Five To Avoid At Talladega
|Written by Gaby Varji|
|Friday, 23 April 2010 00:05|
Like Chicago in the NBA’s Bulls vs Cavaliers odds, there are a few drivers that are very unlikely to be victorious at the Aaron’s 499 at Talladega Superspeedway on Sunday afternoon. Some will be caught in the “Big One”, and some will get shuffled out of the draft, but rest assured, there will be some disappointed drivers this weekend.
Talladega Betting – Sunday, April 25, 1:00 PM ET
Kyle Busch (+1000): Yes, he won the 2008 spring race, but that is the only top-10 in 10 Talladega races for the No.18 driver, who finished third in the Sprint Cup race last week in Texas, then followed with a win in the Nationwide series. Busch also has four DNFs here, and he just seems to have bad luck on the 2.66-mile monster that is Talladega.
Jimmie Johnson (+1200): This is the pick that makes us most nervous, because, well, it’s Jimmie Johnson. But the No.48 driver has just one win in 16 trips to Talladega, including seven top-10s, but he also has six DNFs.
Taking Johnson is like selecting Denver’s NBA odds: he has all the talent in the world to win it, but like the Nuggets, he’ll need a little luck and a couple of breaks to go his way. Looking at their track record this year, that could very well happen, but it’s not likely.
Carl Edwards (+1500): Edwards was within sight of winning his first plate race in this event last year, but he was turned while trying to block eventual winner Brad Keselowski, and ended up a SportsCenter favorite as his car went flying into the catch-fence. Edwards was fine and lived to laugh about that race, but his record at Tallaedga is no joke: 11 races, three top-10s, four DNFs. For whatever reason, Edwards has never been a factor at restrictor-plate tracks, and that may be a matter of horsepower, because we know he’s a talented driver.
Kasey Kahne (+2000): What would Cleveland’s NBA championship odds look like if LeBron James already announced he was leaving town in the offseason? That’s the situation Kahne is in as he will leave Richard Petty Motorsports after this season, and the term “lame duck” comes to mind. Will Kahne continue to get good equipment from RPM? He’ll need it too, as he has just two top-10s in 12 trips to Talladega, along with a pair of DNFs.
Greg Biffle (+3000): Like Roush-Fenway teammate Edwards, Biffle is not really great on the plate tracks, and in 14 Talladega races, he has two top-10s and five DNFs. He could be turning the corner as both of those top-10s came last year, when he finished seventh in the spring and fourth in the fall, but we want more consistency out of the No.16 driver, so beware of putting him in your sportsbetting picks.